An analysis of current Zen 3 & Big Navi pricing on eBay

I scraped all of the eBay sold listings for Zen 3 CPUs and Big Navi GPUs (and PS5/Xbox/RTX 30 series) to see just how bad the scalping market is and it's pretty bad, I don't think anyone will be surprised that Zen 3 is going for about 50% over MSRP and Big Navi 50-100% over MSRP. I copied the Zen 3 and Big Navi sections from my article below: An analysis of the $82 million eBay Scalping Market for Xbox, PS5, AMD, and NVIDIA

Zen 3 Median Pricing Graph Over Time

CPU Graph	MSRP	Total Sold	Median Price	Past Week Median Price	Casual Scalper Break Even	Sophisticated Scalper Break Even	Scalper/eBay Profits	Total Sales
5600X	$299	728	$428	$413	$375	$304	$96,454	$314,126
5800X	$449	633	$589	$545	$558	$457	$93,715	$377,932
5900X	$549	533	$873	$825	$682	$558	$190,756	$483,373
5950X	$799	322	$1395	$1275	$987	$812	$195,812	$453,090

Zen 3 has the best pricing outlook out of all the product types investigated. All of the CPUs are on a downward pricing trend, with the 5800X recently below the break-even point for casual scalpers. Likely the casual scalpers will stop buying new 5800Xs soon and try to sell off their stock. Eventually as AMD's keeps making new chips, the 5800X pricing will but a ceiling on the 5600X, a high ceiling, but a ceiling nonetheless and drive its prices down. Scalpers clearly did not anticipate demand for the 5950X and 5900X, initially pricing the chips 50% below what they could be sold for and quickly corrected in a couple days. The 5950X and 5900X are still well above 50% of their MSRP, and based on trends I would not expect them to be down to MSRP before mid-January.

Big Navi

Big Navi Median Pricing Over Time

GPU Graph	MSRP	Total Sold	Median Price	Past Week Median Price	Casual Scalper Break Even	Sophisticated Scalper Break Even	Scalper/eBay Profits	Total Sales
RX 6800	$579	263	$859	$850	$720	$589	$81,044	$233,321
RX 6800 XT	$649	191	$1277	$1247	$807	$660	$120,650	$244,609

Big Navi is comparatively worse than Zen 3; the 6800 XT is still going for 75% over MSRP and the base 6800 selling for 150% of MSRP since it launched. More recently the 6800 XT has seen a 10-20% drop in price which if it keeps up that trend will be more reasonably pressed by the end of the year, but I expect the trend will not hold. The 6800 shows no signs of having improved pricing, with a very flat pricing trend, potentially the release of the 3060 and sales of other RTX cards will drive its price down.

Submitted by driscoll42 | #Specialdealer Special Offer Online Shopping Store 2016